PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Alvarez vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Alvarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Alvarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 29%Slider 26%Sinker 12%Changeup 4%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Alvarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.