PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Alvarez vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Alvarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Alvarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025
Curveball 30%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 23%Sinker 13%Changeup 5%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Alvarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.