PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Alvarez vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Alvarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Alvarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025
Curveball 31%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 22%Sinker 13%Changeup 5%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Alvarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.