PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Alvarez vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Alvarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Alvarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 29%Slider 25%Sinker 12%Changeup 4%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Alvarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 ED Elias Díaz RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elias Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-20 game page →