PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Alvarez vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Alvarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Alvarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 28%Slider 27%Sinker 12%Changeup 4%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Alvarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Bohm RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.