PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Alvarez vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Alvarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Alvarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Curveball 29%Slider 26%Sinker 12%Changeup 4%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Alvarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 571 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.