PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Alvarez vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Alvarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Alvarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025
Curveball 31%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 22%Sinker 13%Changeup 5%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Alvarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Curveball (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.