PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Alvarez vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Alvarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Alvarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025
Curveball 30%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 23%Sinker 13%Changeup 5%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Alvarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 607 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Max Muncy LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AF Alex Freeland SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 HF Hunter Feduccia LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Feduccia
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-06 game page →