PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Alvarez vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Alvarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Alvarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025
Curveball 30%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Slider 23%Sinker 13%Changeup 5%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Alvarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MT Mike Trout RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JL Josh Lowe LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 WM Wade Meckler LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JS Jose Siri RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Siri
    • Curveball (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-12 game page →