Starting Pitcher · St. Louis Cardinals
Andre Pallante
RHP · Throws Right · Age 27Starter
Model projection · strikeout prop
56.0%
56.0% against a 57.7% break-even. Over 3.5 Ks, tonight vs. MIL. Confidence medium.
Drafted by the St. Louis Cardinals in 2019 (round 4). He made his MLB debut on April 10, 2022.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)
Tonight's Matchup
vs. Brewers · pregame
Projected xwOBA vs. Brewers current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .322
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1
BT
Brice Turang
LHB
.341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2
WC
William Contreras
RHB
.324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3
JB
Jake Bauers
LHB
.325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4
SF
Sal Frelick
LHB
.307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5
GM
Garrett Mitchell
LHB
.325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6
JC
Jackson Chourio
SH
.313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7
CY
Christian Yelich
LHB
.323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8
JO
Joey Ortiz
RHB
.299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9
AV
Andrew Vaughn
RHB
.343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Four-Seam Fastball
FF · lead pitch
40% of pitches · .360 xwOBA allowed · 696 BIP · where it goes, what it costs
Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) has allowed .360 xwOBA over 696 balls in play — his most-used pitch.
Arsenal
usage × whiff, ranked
5 pitch types · 6,253-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
Four-Seam Fastball FF
40% usage · 13% whiff · .360 xwOBA · 95.2 mph
Slider SL
28% usage · 31% whiff · .272 xwOBA · 87.7 mph
Sinker SI
16% usage · 12% whiff · .303 xwOBA · 95.4 mph
Knuckle Curve KC
15% usage · 32% whiff · .240 xwOBA · 78.1 mph
Splitter FS
1% usage · .154 xwOBA · 87.8 mph
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
Four-Seam FastballSliderSinker
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
| Split | K% | xwOBA | Sample |
|---|
| vs. LHB | 17.1 |
.315 |
785 |
| vs. RHB | 16.1 |
.304 |
811 |
Live · client-hydrated
Market lines
current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day
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Live · client-hydrated
DFS picks
today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly
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