PITCHER MATCHUP

Alec Gamboa vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Alec Gamboa's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Alec Gamboa's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .257Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 36%Sinker 23%Curveball 2%Changeup 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Alec Gamboa, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 587 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 561 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 607 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 IH Ian Happ SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 622 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-25 game page →