PITCHER MATCHUP

Alec Gamboa vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Alec Gamboa's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Alec Gamboa's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 35%Sinker 24%Curveball 2%Changeup 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Alec Gamboa, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PR Pedro Ramírez SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Matt Shaw RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Shaw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GA Gabriel Arias RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Arias
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.