PITCHER MATCHUP

Alan Rangel vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Alan Rangel's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Alan Rangel's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Changeup 34%Slider 17%Curveball 11%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Alan Rangel, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 589 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DM Dane Myers RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.