PITCHER MATCHUP

Alan Rangel vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Alan Rangel's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Alan Rangel's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Changeup 34%Slider 17%Curveball 11%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Alan Rangel, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.