PITCHER MATCHUP

Alan Rangel vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Alan Rangel's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Alan Rangel's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .336Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Changeup 33%Slider 17%Curveball 12%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Alan Rangel, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JB JJ Bleday LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF TJ Friedl LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (33% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.