PITCHER MATCHUP

Alan Rangel vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Alan Rangel's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Alan Rangel's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Changeup 34%Slider 17%Curveball 11%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Alan Rangel, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HD Henry Davis RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JG Jacob Gonzalez LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Gonzalez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.