PITCHER MATCHUP

Alan Rangel vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Alan Rangel's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Alan Rangel's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Changeup 34%Slider 17%Curveball 11%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Alan Rangel, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jake Mangum SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HD Henry Davis RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.