PITCHER MATCHUP

Alan Rangel vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Alan Rangel's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Alan Rangel's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Changeup 34%Slider 16%Curveball 12%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Alan Rangel, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Jake Mangum SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HD Henry Davis RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-02 game page →