PITCHER MATCHUP

AJ Smith-Shawver vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against AJ Smith-Shawver's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

AJ Smith-Shawver's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .352Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Splitter 35%Curveball 13%Slider 5%Sinker 4%Cutter 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against AJ Smith-Shawver, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.