PITCHER MATCHUP

AJ Smith-Shawver vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against AJ Smith-Shawver's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

AJ Smith-Shawver's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .417Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Splitter 34%Curveball 13%Slider 5%Sinker 2%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against AJ Smith-Shawver, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT José Tena LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-01 game page →