PITCHER MATCHUP

AJ Smith-Shawver vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against AJ Smith-Shawver's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

AJ Smith-Shawver's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .407Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Splitter 35%Curveball 13%Slider 5%Sinker 3%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against AJ Smith-Shawver, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .332
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 599 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JS Juan Soto LHB .400
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .456 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.