PITCHER MATCHUP

AJ Smith-Shawver vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against AJ Smith-Shawver's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

AJ Smith-Shawver's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .352Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Splitter 35%Curveball 13%Slider 5%Sinker 4%Cutter 1%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against AJ Smith-Shawver, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (35% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.