PITCHER MATCHUP

Adrian Houser vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Adrian Houser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Adrian Houser's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 46%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Changeup 16%Slider 13%Curveball 9%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Adrian Houser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.