PITCHER MATCHUP

Adrian Houser vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Adrian Houser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Adrian Houser's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 46%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Changeup 16%Slider 13%Curveball 9%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Adrian Houser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.