PITCHER MATCHUP

Adrian Houser vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Adrian Houser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Adrian Houser's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 46%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Changeup 16%Slider 13%Curveball 9%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Adrian Houser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 663 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.