PITCHER MATCHUP

Adrian Houser vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Adrian Houser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Adrian Houser's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 46%Changeup 16%Four-Seam Fastball 15%Slider 14%Curveball 10%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Adrian Houser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .373
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sinker (46% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.