PITCHER MATCHUP

Aaron Civale vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Aaron Civale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Aaron Civale's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 36%Curveball 22%Sinker 18%Four-Seam Fastball 12%Splitter 6%Slider 4%Sweeper 3%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Aaron Civale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MT Mike Trout RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JL Josh Lowe LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WM Wade Meckler LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.