PITCHER MATCHUP

Aaron Civale vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Aaron Civale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Aaron Civale's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 36%Curveball 21%Sinker 18%Four-Seam Fastball 12%Splitter 6%Slider 4%Sweeper 3%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Aaron Civale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MT Mike Trout RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JL Josh Lowe LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 WM Wade Meckler LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JS Jose Siri RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Siri
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.