PITCHER MATCHUP

Aaron Civale vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Aaron Civale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Aaron Civale's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 34%Curveball 21%Sinker 19%Four-Seam Fastball 13%Splitter 5%Slider 5%Sweeper 3%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Aaron Civale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MT Mike Trout RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JL Josh Lowe LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WM Wade Meckler LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.