PITCHER MATCHUP

Aaron Civale vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Aaron Civale's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Aaron Civale's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .329vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 34%Curveball 20%Sinker 19%Four-Seam Fastball 14%Splitter 5%Slider 5%Sweeper 3%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Aaron Civale, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 ZN Zach Neto RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JS Jorge Soler RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Soler
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JL Josh Lowe LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WM Wade Meckler LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-28 game page →