September 24, 2026 · NL West
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
@
Probable starters
AWAY · SD
HOME
TBD
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · SD Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R | .285 | .355 | .468 | .823 | 25 | 81 | 126 | .756 |
| 2 Jackson Merrill CF · L | .255 | .304 | .445 | .749 | 26 | 86 | 155 | .765 |
| 3 Manny Machado 3B · R | .219 | .307 | .406 | .713 | 28 | 84 | 138 | .733 |
| 4 Xander Bogaerts SS · R | .229 | .328 | .339 | .667 | 12 | 56 | 106 | .715 |
| 5 Ty France 1B · R | .301 | .366 | .519 | .885 | 21 | 70 | 100 | .703 |
| 6 Jake Cronenworth 2B · L | .229 | .310 | .327 | .637 | 7 | 36 | 90 | .714 |
| 7 Freddy Fermin C · R | .194 | .268 | .304 | .572 | 4 | 20 | 55 | .708 |
| 8 Luis Campusano C · R | .263 | .363 | .439 | .802 | 8 | 29 | 52 | .726 |
| 9 Samad Taylor LF · R | .343 | .417 | .445 | .862 | 2 | 18 | 40 | .721 |
HOME · LAD Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Freddie Freeman 1B · L | .292 | .367 | .438 | .805 | 16 | 67 | 110 | .760 |
| 2 Kyle Tucker RF · L | .234 | .334 | .393 | .727 | 17 | 70 | 102 | .767 |
| 3 Max Muncy 3B · L | .256 | .352 | .500 | .852 | 29 | 76 | 136 | .730 |
| 4 Mookie Betts SS · R | .259 | .325 | .454 | .779 | 22 | 67 | 54 | .749 |
| 5 Teoscar Hernández LF · R | .266 | .335 | .423 | .758 | 15 | 63 | 127 | .728 |
| 6 Tommy Edman 2B · S | .245 | .328 | .376 | .704 | 7 | 38 | 63 | .708 |
| 7 Alex Freeland 2B · S | .234 | .327 | .325 | .652 | 4 | 21 | 74 | .734 |
| 8 Will Smith C · R | .248 | .342 | .410 | .752 | 9 | 33 | 41 | .743 |
| 9 Miguel Rojas 2B · R | .271 | .311 | .399 | .710 | 4 | 22 | 26 | .697 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 627 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MM Max Muncy LHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TE Tommy Edman SH .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AF Alex Freeland SH .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 WS Will Smith RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · SD
Lineup 2.3 R
Bunts 3.1 R
IBBs 3.1 R
HOME · LAD
Lineup 2.1 R
Bunts 1.5 R
IBBs 6.3 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · SD
- Available 8
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · LAD
- Available 4
- Limited 3
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
Recent form
AWAY · SD
9-1
W5
+24 run diff
WWWWWLWWWW
HOME · LAD
7-3
W4
+24 run diff
WWWWLWWLLW
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Padres and Dodgers staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.