September 24, 2026 · NL Cent
Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs
@
Probable starters
AWAY · MIA
HOME
TBD
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · MIA Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Otto Lopez SS · R | .305 | .348 | .442 | .790 | 11 | 71 | 87 | .719 |
| 2 Xavier Edwards 2B · S | .280 | .360 | .371 | .731 | 6 | 52 | 83 | .731 |
| 3 Jakob Marsee CF · L | .230 | .349 | .359 | .708 | 11 | 39 | 122 | .746 |
| 4 Kyle Stowers 1B · L | .237 | .328 | .445 | .773 | 19 | 61 | 159 | .739 |
| 5 Javier Sanoja 3B · R | .291 | .330 | .454 | .784 | 10 | 67 | 37 | .736 |
| 6 Heriberto Hernández LF · R | .228 | .313 | .440 | .753 | 24 | 64 | 130 | .739 |
| 7 Joe Mack C · L | .231 | .278 | .395 | .673 | 13 | 48 | 82 | .746 |
| 8 Griffin Conine RF · L | .256 | .350 | .481 | .831 | 17 | 39 | 90 | .722 |
| 9 Agustín Ramírez DH · R | .235 | .323 | .368 | .691 | 5 | 23 | 57 | .734 |
HOME · CHC Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Nico Hoerner 2B · R | .265 | .317 | .355 | .672 | 8 | 71 | 56 | .723 |
| 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L | .280 | .371 | .578 | .949 | 45 | 107 | 182 | .744 |
| 3 Alex Bregman 3B · R | .262 | .352 | .452 | .804 | 26 | 89 | 101 | .738 |
| 4 Michael Busch 1B · L | .239 | .350 | .396 | .746 | 20 | 77 | 159 | .748 |
| 5 Seiya Suzuki RF · R | .267 | .365 | .470 | .835 | 25 | 85 | 149 | .747 |
| 6 Ian Happ LF · S | .221 | .331 | .418 | .749 | 24 | 67 | 183 | .732 |
| 7 Dansby Swanson SS · R | .220 | .303 | .412 | .715 | 19 | 67 | 107 | .713 |
| 8 Carson Kelly C · R | .264 | .344 | .386 | .730 | 10 | 58 | 66 | .712 |
| 9 Michael Conforto DH · L | .245 | .339 | .482 | .821 | 15 | 44 | 79 | .706 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 561 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 MB Michael Busch LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 605 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
6 IH Ian Happ SH .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 618 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (24% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Manager comparison
AWAY · MIA
Lineup 4.0 R
Bunts 3.8 R
IBBs 1.4 R
HOME · CHC
Lineup 3.9 R
Bunts 2.0 R
IBBs 1.8 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · MIA
- Available 8
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · CHC
- Available 4
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · MIA
4-6
L3
-11 run diff
LLLWWLWWLL
HOME · CHC
6-4
W2
+22 run diff
WWLWLWLWWL
Season series: 1-2 with MIA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Marlins and Cubs staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.