September 23, 2026 · NL West
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
@
Probable starters
AWAY · SD
HOME
TBD
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · SD Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R | .285 | .355 | .468 | .823 | 25 | 81 | 126 | .756 |
| 2 Jackson Merrill CF · L | .255 | .304 | .445 | .749 | 26 | 86 | 155 | .765 |
| 3 Manny Machado 3B · R | .219 | .307 | .406 | .713 | 28 | 84 | 138 | .733 |
| 4 Xander Bogaerts SS · R | .229 | .328 | .339 | .667 | 12 | 56 | 106 | .715 |
| 5 Ty France 1B · R | .301 | .366 | .519 | .885 | 21 | 70 | 100 | .703 |
| 6 Jake Cronenworth 2B · L | .229 | .310 | .327 | .637 | 7 | 36 | 90 | .714 |
| 7 Freddy Fermin C · R | .194 | .268 | .304 | .572 | 4 | 20 | 55 | .708 |
| 8 Luis Campusano C · R | .263 | .363 | .439 | .802 | 8 | 29 | 52 | .726 |
| 9 Samad Taylor LF · R | .343 | .417 | .445 | .862 | 2 | 18 | 40 | .721 |
HOME · LAD Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Freddie Freeman 1B · L | .292 | .367 | .438 | .805 | 16 | 67 | 110 | .760 |
| 2 Kyle Tucker RF · L | .234 | .334 | .393 | .727 | 17 | 70 | 102 | .767 |
| 3 Max Muncy 3B · L | .256 | .352 | .500 | .852 | 29 | 76 | 136 | .730 |
| 4 Mookie Betts SS · R | .259 | .325 | .454 | .779 | 22 | 67 | 54 | .749 |
| 5 Teoscar Hernández LF · R | .266 | .335 | .423 | .758 | 15 | 63 | 127 | .728 |
| 6 Tommy Edman 2B · S | .245 | .328 | .376 | .704 | 7 | 38 | 63 | .708 |
| 7 Alex Freeland 2B · S | .234 | .327 | .325 | .652 | 4 | 21 | 74 | .734 |
| 8 Will Smith C · R | .248 | .342 | .410 | .752 | 9 | 33 | 41 | .743 |
| 9 Miguel Rojas 2B · R | .271 | .311 | .399 | .710 | 4 | 22 | 26 | .697 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 627 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
3 MM Max Muncy LHB .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
6 TE Tommy Edman SH .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 AF Alex Freeland SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 WS Will Smith RHB .349
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · SD
Lineup 2.3 R
Bunts 3.1 R
IBBs 3.1 R
HOME · LAD
Lineup 2.1 R
Bunts 1.5 R
IBBs 6.3 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · SD
- Available 8
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · LAD
- Available 4
- Limited 3
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
Recent form
AWAY · SD
9-1
W5
+24 run diff
WWWWWLWWWW
HOME · LAD
7-3
W4
+24 run diff
WWWWLWWLLW
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Padres and Dodgers staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.