September 23, 2026 · NL Cent
Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs
@
Probable starters
AWAY · MIA
HOME
TBD
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · MIA Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Otto Lopez SS · R | .305 | .348 | .442 | .790 | 11 | 71 | 87 | .719 |
| 2 Xavier Edwards 2B · S | .280 | .360 | .371 | .731 | 6 | 52 | 83 | .731 |
| 3 Jakob Marsee CF · L | .230 | .349 | .359 | .708 | 11 | 39 | 122 | .746 |
| 4 Kyle Stowers 1B · L | .237 | .328 | .445 | .773 | 19 | 61 | 159 | .739 |
| 5 Javier Sanoja 3B · R | .291 | .330 | .454 | .784 | 10 | 67 | 37 | .736 |
| 6 Heriberto Hernández LF · R | .228 | .313 | .440 | .753 | 24 | 64 | 130 | .739 |
| 7 Joe Mack C · L | .231 | .278 | .395 | .673 | 13 | 48 | 82 | .746 |
| 8 Griffin Conine RF · L | .256 | .350 | .481 | .831 | 17 | 39 | 90 | .722 |
| 9 Agustín Ramírez DH · R | .235 | .323 | .368 | .691 | 5 | 23 | 57 | .734 |
HOME · CHC Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Nico Hoerner 2B · R | .265 | .317 | .355 | .672 | 8 | 71 | 56 | .723 |
| 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L | .280 | .371 | .578 | .949 | 45 | 107 | 182 | .744 |
| 3 Alex Bregman 3B · R | .262 | .352 | .452 | .804 | 26 | 89 | 101 | .738 |
| 4 Michael Busch 1B · L | .239 | .350 | .396 | .746 | 20 | 77 | 159 | .748 |
| 5 Seiya Suzuki RF · R | .267 | .365 | .470 | .835 | 25 | 85 | 149 | .747 |
| 6 Ian Happ LF · S | .221 | .331 | .418 | .749 | 24 | 67 | 183 | .732 |
| 7 Dansby Swanson SS · R | .220 | .303 | .412 | .715 | 19 | 67 | 107 | .713 |
| 8 Carson Kelly C · R | .264 | .344 | .386 | .730 | 10 | 58 | 66 | .712 |
| 9 Michael Conforto DH · L | .245 | .339 | .482 | .821 | 15 | 44 | 79 | .706 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
-
1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 561 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 MB Michael Busch LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 605 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 IH Ian Happ SH .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 618 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · MIA
Lineup 4.0 R
Bunts 3.8 R
IBBs 1.4 R
HOME · CHC
Lineup 3.9 R
Bunts 2.0 R
IBBs 1.8 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · MIA
- Available 8
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · CHC
- Available 4
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · MIA
4-6
L3
-11 run diff
LLLWWLWWLL
HOME · CHC
6-4
W2
+22 run diff
WWLWLWLWWL
Season series: 1-2 with MIA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Marlins and Cubs staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.