PREVIEW Starts 10:10 PM ET · T-Mobile Park
September 23, 2026 · AL West

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners

September 23, 202610:10 PM ETT-Mobile Park
AWAY
Houston Astros
16-23
@
HOME
Seattle Mariners
19-20

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Manager comparison

Both managers grade D+ / B- entering this matchup.

AWAY · HOU
Joe Espada
D+ Lineup 2.8 R Bunts 0.7 R IBBs 0.4 R
HOME · SEA
Dan Wilson
B- Lineup 1.3 R Bunts 0.2 R IBBs 0.8 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · HOU
  • Available 7
  • Limited 0
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 1
HOME · SEA
  • Available 6
  • Limited 0
  • Rest required 1
  • Inactive 1

Recent form

AWAY · HOU
5-4 W1 -2 run diff
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HOME · SEA
5-5 W2 +2 run diff
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Season series: 0-4 with HOU listed first across 4 prior meetings.

Tactical preview

Joe Espada (D+) faces Dan Wilson (B-). Lineup decisions are the largest single category of cost in the RunsLeft model.

AWAY · HOU
D+
Lineup cost 2.8 R · Bunt cost 0.7 R · IBB cost 0.4 R
HOME · SEA
B-
Lineup cost 1.3 R · Bunt cost 0.2 R · IBB cost 0.8 R

Lineups not yet announced. They typically post ~90 minutes before first pitch.

Bullpen availability for both teams is in the section above. Full tactical analysis (manager cost, player execution, counterfactual outcome) will appear here after the game ends.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.

Read the full methodology.