September 22, 2026 · AL Cent
Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers
@
Probable starters
AWAY · WSH
HOME · DET
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · WSH Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Daylen Lile LF · L | .251 | .303 | .440 | .743 | 22 | 88 | 124 | .759 |
| 2 CJ Abrams SS · L | .261 | .336 | .492 | .828 | 31 | 99 | 152 | .743 |
| 3 James Wood RF · L | .265 | .390 | .513 | .903 | 30 | 76 | 169 | .764 |
| 4 Nasim Nuñez 2B · S | .210 | .291 | .243 | .534 | 1 | 36 | 97 | .731 |
| 5 Jacob Young CF · R | .249 | .317 | .389 | .706 | 10 | 49 | 75 | .707 |
| 6 Dylan Crews RF · R | .222 | .286 | .371 | .657 | 12 | 43 | 101 | .731 |
| 7 Keibert Ruiz C · S | .285 | .323 | .455 | .778 | 10 | 47 | 36 | .706 |
| 8 Brady House 3B · R | .244 | .310 | .399 | .709 | 10 | 45 | 86 | .733 |
| 9 Jorbit Vivas 3B · L | .247 | .340 | .334 | .674 | 3 | 31 | 52 | .733 |
HOME · DET Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Kevin McGonigle SS · L | .274 | .376 | .424 | .800 | 17 | 70 | 92 | .750 |
| 2 Dillon Dingler C · R | .243 | .301 | .450 | .751 | 27 | 89 | 136 | .724 |
| 3 Spencer Torkelson 1B · R | .229 | .326 | .424 | .750 | 24 | 72 | 184 | .738 |
| 4 Riley Greene LF · L | .285 | .372 | .484 | .856 | 21 | 75 | 152 | .766 |
| 5 Colt Keith 3B · L | .258 | .322 | .406 | .728 | 10 | 36 | 84 | .737 |
| 6 Zach McKinstry RF · L | .202 | .286 | .298 | .584 | 4 | 26 | 68 | .710 |
| 7 Gleyber Torres 2B · R | .262 | .365 | .368 | .733 | 8 | 38 | 79 | .729 |
| 8 Hao-Yu Lee 2B · R | .262 | .317 | .426 | .743 | 10 | 45 | 83 | .746 |
| 9 Javier Báez SS · R | .237 | .265 | .345 | .610 | 2 | 17 | 38 | .685 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
4 RG Riley Greene LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 CK Colt Keith LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 JB Javier Báez SH .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 JW James Wood LHB .358
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .437 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (31% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
5 JY Jacob Young RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (31% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .282
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (31% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 BH Brady House RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · WSH
Lineup 3.9 R
Bunts 2.6 R
IBBs 2.4 R
HOME · DET
Lineup 4.9 R
Bunts 0.9 R
IBBs 1.4 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · WSH
- Available 8
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · DET
- Available 6
- Limited 2
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · WSH
6-4
L1
+4 run diff
LWWLWWWWLL
HOME · DET
6-4
L2
+13 run diff
LLWLLWWWWW
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Nationals and Tigers staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.