September 22, 2026 · AL East
Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox
@
Probable starters
AWAY · CLE
HOME · BOS
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · CLE Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Jo Adell RF · R | .241 | .295 | .401 | .696 | 22 | 93 | 154 | .733 |
| 2 Steven Kwan LF · L | .280 | .378 | .345 | .723 | 3 | 31 | 60 | .724 |
| 3 Brayan Rocchio SS · S | .250 | .312 | .381 | .693 | 13 | 70 | 82 | .717 |
| 4 Chase DeLauter RF · L | .291 | .364 | .457 | .821 | 15 | 65 | 77 | .742 |
| 5 José Ramírez 3B · S | .237 | .324 | .376 | .700 | 12 | 51 | 67 | .756 |
| 6 Travis Bazzana 2B · L | .246 | .338 | .407 | .745 | 15 | 57 | 99 | .742 |
| 7 Nathaniel Lowe 1B · L | .253 | .320 | .450 | .770 | 17 | 59 | 98 | .721 |
| 8 Angel Martínez LF · S | .253 | .289 | .463 | .752 | 17 | 57 | 88 | .726 |
| 9 Patrick Bailey C · S | .205 | .271 | .320 | .591 | 8 | 34 | 87 | .704 |
HOME · BOS Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Wilyer Abreu RF · L | .251 | .332 | .453 | .785 | 24 | 74 | 135 | .743 |
| 2 Jarren Duran LF · L | .204 | .261 | .362 | .623 | 20 | 69 | 163 | .746 |
| 3 Caleb Durbin 3B · R | .255 | .338 | .389 | .727 | 13 | 64 | 77 | .733 |
| 4 Willson Contreras 1B · R | .276 | .387 | .518 | .905 | 27 | 81 | 134 | .734 |
| 5 Adley Rutschman C · S | .234 | .309 | .413 | .722 | 12 | 57 | 64 | .728 |
| 6 Andruw Monasterio SS · R | .239 | .299 | .384 | .683 | 6 | 40 | 64 | .715 |
| 7 Trevor Story SS · R | .247 | .278 | .368 | .646 | 5 | 29 | 79 | .711 |
| 8 Nick Sogard 2B · S | .250 | .340 | .389 | .729 | 5 | 19 | 51 | .717 |
| 9 Connor Wong C · R | .234 | .310 | .346 | .656 | 4 | 24 | 57 | .708 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
-
1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 TS Trevor Story RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 NS Nick Sogard SH .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 CW Connor Wong RHB .280
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
1 JA Jo Adell RHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 JR José Ramírez SH .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 593 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 AM Angel Martínez SH .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Manager comparison
AWAY · CLE
Lineup 3.0 R
Bunts 3.2 R
IBBs 1.8 R
HOME · BOS
Lineup 2.7 R
Bunts 3.1 R
IBBs 1.5 R
Interim
Bullpen availability
AWAY · CLE
- Available 7
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · BOS
- Available 8
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · CLE
7-3
W5
+14 run diff
WWWWWLWLWL
HOME · BOS
4-6
L2
-4 run diff
LLWWLLWWLL
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Guardians and Red Sox staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.