PREVIEW Starts 8:40 PM ET · Coors Field
September 22, 2026 · NL West

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

September 22, 20268:40 PM ETCoors Field
AWAY
Arizona Diamondbacks
82-74
—
@
HOME
Colorado Rockies
57-99
—

Probable starters

AWAY · AZ
Michael Soroka
Michael Soroka
HOME · COL
Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Hitter season stats

Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.

AWAY · AZ Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 Corbin Carroll RF · L .240 .331 .470 .801 22 72 147 .771
2 Geraldo Perdomo SS · S .256 .363 .367 .730 9 52 82 .754
3 Ketel Marte 2B · S .249 .315 .437 .752 22 74 86 .766
4 Nolan Arenado 3B · R .247 .322 .455 .777 27 78 115 .706
5 Gabriel Moreno C · R .307 .386 .481 .867 15 75 78 .741
6 Ildemaro Vargas 1B · S .254 .297 .380 .677 9 67 47 .696
7 Tim Tawa 1B · R .234 .292 .385 .677 10 38 81 .722
8 Jesús Sánchez RF · L .256 .314 .406 .720 8 35 73 .726
9 Lars Nootbaar DH · L .237 .339 .376 .715 7 31 64 .723
HOME · COL Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 TJ Rumfield 1B · L .300 .392 .451 .843 15 70 85 .733
2 Jake McCarthy LF · L .297 .340 .490 .830 15 83 90 .712
3 Hunter Goodman C · R .245 .312 .528 .840 39 82 172 .747
4 Ezequiel Tovar SS · R .215 .262 .339 .601 11 42 125 .738
5 Mickey Moniak LF · L .241 .282 .482 .764 22 64 117 .734
6 Kyle Karros 3B · R .258 .353 .420 .773 12 48 91 .735
7 Troy Johnston RF · L .281 .350 .397 .747 4 50 80 .721
8 Connor Norby 2B · R .242 .341 .377 .718 7 32 105 .730
9 Cole Carrigg CF · S .271 .335 .461 .796 10 48 83 .742

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

AZ starter vs Rockies lineup

Michael Soroka (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Michael Soroka vs Rockies: full season matchup breakdown →
COL starter vs Diamondbacks lineup

Kyle Freeland (LHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 648 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Kyle Freeland vs Diamondbacks: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · AZ
Torey Lovullo
Torey Lovullo
Lineup 4.2 R Bunts 4.8 R IBBs 4.0 R
HOME · COL
Warren Schaeffer
Warren Schaeffer
Lineup 3.9 R Bunts 2.8 R IBBs 3.6 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · AZ
  • Available 5
  • Limited 2
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0
HOME · COL
  • Available 6
  • Limited 1
  • Rest required 1
  • Inactive 0

Recent form

AWAY · AZ
4-6 W2 -3 run diff
WWLLLWLLWL
HOME · COL
2-8 L1 -23 run diff
LWLLLWLLLL

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Diamondbacks and Rockies staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.

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