PREVIEW Starts 6:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
September 22, 2026 · NL East

Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies

September 22, 20266:40 PM ETCitizens Bank Park
AWAY
Milwaukee Brewers
98-58
—
@
HOME
Philadelphia Phillies
86-70
—

Probable starters

AWAY · MIL
Dustin May
Dustin May
HOME · PHI
Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Hitter season stats

Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.

AWAY · MIL Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 Brice Turang 2B · L .264 .365 .438 .803 19 93 164 .730
2 William Contreras C · R .271 .342 .423 .765 18 88 90 .751
3 Jackson Chourio LF · R .285 .344 .481 .825 24 70 130 .766
4 Jake Bauers 1B · L .269 .397 .497 .894 26 83 143 .714
5 Garrett Mitchell CF · L .266 .358 .427 .785 11 65 159 .726
6 Christian Yelich DH · L .237 .314 .377 .691 11 57 129 .739
7 Joey Ortiz SS · R .267 .326 .403 .729 9 46 78 .707
8 Sal Frelick RF · L .234 .297 .322 .619 4 39 38 .731
9 David Hamilton 3B · L .240 .308 .329 .637 4 26 83 .714
HOME · PHI Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 Trea Turner SS · R .241 .299 .382 .681 19 58 142 .738
2 Luis Arraez 2B · L .313 .348 .424 .772 6 64 28 .734
3 Kyle Schwarber DH · L .234 .355 .512 .867 45 95 216 .764
4 Bryce Harper 1B · L .271 .382 .491 .873 28 85 144 .759
5 Alec Bohm 3B · R .253 .317 .390 .707 15 87 85 .730
6 Bryson Stott 2B · L .248 .324 .387 .711 10 65 99 .722
7 Brandon Marsh LF · L .260 .304 .405 .709 17 58 138 .741
8 Justin Crawford CF · L .265 .312 .358 .670 3 41 78 .750
9 J.T. Realmuto C · R .213 .289 .342 .631 11 49 96 .710

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

MIL starter vs Phillies lineup

Dustin May (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 713 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 611 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .370
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Dustin May vs Phillies: full season matchup breakdown →
PHI starter vs Brewers lineup

Zack Wheeler (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Zack Wheeler vs Brewers: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · MIL
Pat Murphy
Pat Murphy
Lineup 2.7 R Bunts 4.7 R IBBs 5.3 R
HOME · PHI
Don Mattingly
Don Mattingly
Lineup 2.8 R Bunts 2.4 R IBBs 1.3 R Interim

Bullpen availability

AWAY · MIL
  • Available 4
  • Limited 3
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 1
HOME · PHI
  • Available 5
  • Limited 4
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 1

Recent form

AWAY · MIL
8-2 W3 +32 run diff
WWWLWWLWWW
HOME · PHI
4-6 W1 -9 run diff
WLLWWLWLLL

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Brewers and Phillies staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.

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