August 9, 2026 · AL West
Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners
@
Probable starters
AWAY
TBD
HOME · SEA
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · TB Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Junior Caminero 3B · R | .284 | .373 | .559 | .932 | 33 | 71 | 91 | .767 |
| 2 Yandy Díaz DH · R | .300 | .373 | .458 | .831 | 15 | 64 | 72 | .747 |
| 3 Jonathan Aranda 1B · L | .285 | .374 | .432 | .806 | 14 | 71 | 111 | .743 |
| 4 Chandler Simpson LF · L | .299 | .329 | .357 | .686 | 0 | 23 | 39 | .731 |
| 5 Liam Hicks C · L | .282 | .364 | .439 | .803 | 15 | 66 | 39 | .726 |
| 6 Cedric Mullins CF · L | .204 | .280 | .357 | .637 | 13 | 35 | 79 | .711 |
| 7 Taylor Walls SS · S | .214 | .305 | .280 | .585 | 0 | 23 | 81 | .694 |
| 8 Ben Williamson 2B · R | .247 | .309 | .332 | .641 | 3 | 26 | 51 | .727 |
| 9 Nick Fortes C · R | .276 | .317 | .383 | .700 | 4 | 28 | 32 | .697 |
HOME · SEA Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Cole Young 2B · L | .263 | .323 | .412 | .735 | 14 | 51 | 76 | .737 |
| 2 Josh Naylor 1B · L | .260 | .323 | .355 | .678 | 8 | 40 | 58 | .747 |
| 3 Taylor Ward LF · R | .245 | .380 | .343 | .723 | 7 | 30 | 106 | .729 |
| 4 Julio Rodríguez CF · R | .258 | .322 | .421 | .743 | 17 | 50 | 91 | .760 |
| 5 Randy Arozarena LF · R | .285 | .379 | .456 | .835 | 14 | 49 | 96 | .728 |
| 6 Cal Raleigh C · S | .162 | .266 | .308 | .574 | 12 | 43 | 114 | .759 |
| 7 Dominic Canzone DH · L | .254 | .331 | .502 | .833 | 18 | 49 | 68 | .728 |
| 8 Colt Emerson SS · L | .201 | .260 | .358 | .618 | 8 | 23 | 72 | .755 |
| 9 Victor Robles RF · R | .241 | .288 | .267 | .555 | 0 | 5 | 21 | .724 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
-
1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .283
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
7 TW Taylor Walls SH .281
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .280
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Manager comparison
AWAY · TB
Lineup 2.2 R
Bunts 3.7 R
IBBs 3.5 R
HOME · SEA
Lineup 2.6 R
Bunts 1.1 R
IBBs 2.0 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · TB
- Available 8
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · SEA
- Available 6
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · TB
7-3
W3
+0 run diff
WWWLWLWWLW
HOME · SEA
4-6
L1
-26 run diff
LWLWWLLLWL
Season series: 2-1 with TB listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Rays and Mariners staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.