PREVIEW Starts 2:35 PM ET · Globe Life Field
August 9, 2026 · AL West

Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers

August 9, 20262:35 PM ETGlobe Life Field
AWAY
Baltimore Orioles
56-59
—
@
HOME
Texas Rangers
57-58
—

Probable starters

AWAY · BAL
Cade Povich
Cade Povich
HOME · TEX
Kumar Rocker
Kumar Rocker

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Hitter season stats

Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.

AWAY · BAL Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 Gunnar Henderson SS · L .218 .297 .393 .690 18 47 119 .776
2 Pete Alonso 1B · R .249 .343 .458 .801 23 71 124 .753
3 Leody Taveras CF · S .220 .303 .347 .650 6 41 87 .712
4 Coby Mayo 3B · R .205 .270 .428 .698 15 41 98 .734
5 Colton Cowser CF · L .203 .310 .319 .629 8 28 82 .729
6 Jeremiah Jackson 2B · R .240 .266 .380 .646 7 39 44 .736
7 Tyler O'Neill RF · R .219 .301 .406 .707 9 20 58 .725
8 Dylan Beavers RF · L .244 .328 .344 .672 2 18 50 .744
9 Carlos Narváez C · R .182 .258 .267 .525 3 10 68 .729
HOME · TEX Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 Brandon Nimmo RF · L .274 .342 .445 .787 12 43 99 .727
2 Jake Burger 1B · R .238 .297 .421 .718 19 66 119 .727
3 Ezequiel Duran SS · R .276 .328 .459 .787 13 63 93 .715
4 Joc Pederson DH · L .252 .340 .500 .840 20 42 80 .720
5 Evan Carter CF · L .199 .313 .335 .648 8 30 75 .747
6 Wyatt Langford LF · R .265 .316 .490 .806 13 31 63 .752
7 Corey Seager SS · L .201 .310 .382 .692 10 25 64 .763
8 Alejandro Osuna LF · L .255 .347 .297 .644 1 24 32 .739
9 Nicky Lopez 2B · L .282 .323 .316 .639 1 19 31 .698

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

BAL starter vs Rangers lineup

Cade Povich (LHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Cade Povich vs Rangers: full season matchup breakdown →
TEX starter vs Orioles lineup

Kumar Rocker (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Kumar Rocker vs Orioles: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · BAL
Craig Albernaz
Craig Albernaz
Lineup 2.4 R Bunts 1.1 R IBBs 2.8 R
HOME · TEX
Skip Schumaker
Skip Schumaker
Lineup 2.7 R Bunts 2.1 R IBBs 3.4 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · BAL
  • Available 5
  • Limited 3
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0
HOME · TEX
  • Available 9
  • Limited 0
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0

Recent form

AWAY · BAL
5-5 L1 -20 run diff
LWWLLWWLWL
HOME · TEX
4-6 W2 -8 run diff
WWLLLLLLWW

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Orioles and Rangers staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.

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