Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees Preview — August 9, 2026

Probable starters

AWAY · ATL

Grant Holmes

HOME · NYY

Cam Schlittler

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Hitter season stats

Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.

AWAY · ATL Projected · top 9 by AB

BATTER	2026 SEASON							PROJ OPS
BATTER	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	RBI	K	PROJ OPS
1 Matt Olson 1B · L	.269	.347	.549	.896	32	70	123	.764
2 Ozzie Albies 2B · S	.261	.312	.436	.748	19	63	71	.723
3 Michael Harris II CF · L	.293	.322	.500	.822	20	66	83	.737
4 Mauricio Dubón LF · R	.269	.318	.404	.722	10	58	59	.701
5 Austin Riley 3B · R	.221	.296	.362	.658	13	56	142	.741
6 Drake Baldwin C · L	.271	.361	.458	.819	20	59	86	.749
7 Lane Thomas CF · R	.229	.324	.390	.714	10	38	80	.716
8 Mike Yastrzemski LF · L	.228	.311	.378	.689	8	32	72	.714
9 Dominic Smith DH · L	.268	.323	.402	.725	8	43	36	.713

HOME · NYY Projected · top 9 by AB

BATTER	2026 SEASON							PROJ OPS
BATTER	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	RBI	K	PROJ OPS
1 Ben Rice 1B · L	.260	.355	.550	.905	31	73	116	.741
2 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B · L	.217	.295	.399	.694	17	47	131	.742
3 Luis García Jr. 1B · L	.283	.313	.560	.873	24	78	61	.733
4 Trent Grisham CF · L	.211	.310	.379	.689	12	43	61	.727
5 José Caballero SS · R	.245	.298	.396	.694	12	41	81	.707
6 Paul Goldschmidt 1B · R	.247	.307	.453	.760	16	44	77	.709
7 Heliot Ramos LF · R	.261	.303	.420	.723	9	34	84	.740
8 Ryan McMahon 3B · L	.212	.276	.372	.648	10	27	82	.715
9 Austin Wells C · L	.169	.268	.289	.557	8	16	68	.727

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

ATL starter vs Yankees lineup

Grant Holmes (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .315

1 BR Ben Rice LHB .362
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .420 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
5 JC José Caballero RHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
9 AW Austin Wells LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.

Grant Holmes vs Yankees: full season matchup breakdown →

NYY starter vs Braves lineup

Cam Schlittler (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .327

1 MO Matt Olson LHB .355
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (25% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
4 AR Austin Riley RHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .358
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.

Cam Schlittler vs Braves: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · ATL

Walt Weiss

Lineup 3.3 R Bunts 0.7 R IBBs 2.2 R

HOME · NYY

Aaron Boone

Lineup 2.9 R Bunts 0.3 R IBBs 2.6 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · ATL

Available 5
Limited 2
Rest required 1
Inactive 0

HOME · NYY

Available 7
Limited 0
Rest required 0
Inactive 1

Recent form

AWAY · ATL

8-1 W7 +25 run diff

WWWWWWWLW?

HOME · NYY

5-5 L1 -3 run diff

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Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Braves and Yankees staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.