PREVIEW Starts 7:15 PM ET · Busch Stadium
August 8, 2026 · NL Cent

Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals

August 8, 20267:15 PM ETBusch Stadium
AWAY
Colorado Rockies
45-70
—
@
HOME
St. Louis Cardinals
57-58
—

Probable starters

AWAY · COL
Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland
HOME · STL
Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Hitter season stats

Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.

AWAY · COL Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 TJ Rumfield 1B · L .291 .370 .460 .830 13 58 66 .733
2 Hunter Goodman C · R .254 .323 .547 .870 33 66 147 .747
3 Ezequiel Tovar SS · R .207 .250 .335 .585 9 37 99 .738
4 Jake McCarthy CF · L .293 .331 .490 .821 11 64 67 .712
5 Willi Castro 2B · S .264 .334 .426 .760 13 48 106 .717
6 Kyle Karros 3B · R .271 .368 .428 .796 9 41 79 .735
7 Troy Johnston RF · L .281 .347 .388 .735 3 41 62 .721
8 Mickey Moniak LF · L .278 .318 .571 .889 19 52 72 .734
9 Tyler Freeman RF · R .250 .320 .317 .637 3 23 34 .720
HOME · STL Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 Alec Burleson 1B · L .287 .351 .480 .831 18 77 76 .739
2 Jordan Walker RF · R .285 .343 .491 .834 22 81 119 .728
3 Iván Herrera DH · R .239 .355 .373 .728 12 47 89 .752
4 JJ Wetherholt 2B · L .248 .351 .388 .739 16 43 76 .746
5 Masyn Winn SS · R .238 .317 .317 .634 4 45 88 .732
6 Nathan Church CF · L .236 .283 .366 .649 9 35 63 .729
7 José Fermín LF · R .237 .297 .355 .652 5 24 30 .724
8 Pedro Pagés C · R .206 .251 .323 .574 4 11 45 .716
9 Blaze Jordan 3B · R .252 .271 .370 .641 1 22 20 .746

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

COL starter vs Cardinals lineup

Kyle Freeland (LHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Kyle Freeland vs Cardinals: full season matchup breakdown →
STL starter vs Rockies lineup

Matthew Liberatore (LHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Matthew Liberatore vs Rockies: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · COL
Warren Schaeffer
Warren Schaeffer
Lineup 3.3 R Bunts 1.7 R IBBs 3.3 R
HOME · STL
Oliver Marmol
Oliver Marmol
Lineup 2.9 R Bunts 2.5 R IBBs 2.0 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · COL
  • Available 8
  • Limited 0
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0
HOME · STL
  • Available 8
  • Limited 0
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0

Recent form

AWAY · COL
3-7 L3 -10 run diff
LLLWWWLLLL
HOME · STL
4-6 W1 -9 run diff
WLWWLLLWLL

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Rockies and Cardinals staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.

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