Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees
Probable starters
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Matt Olson 1B · L | .269 | .347 | .549 | .896 | 32 | 70 | 123 | .764 |
| 2 Ozzie Albies 2B · S | .261 | .312 | .436 | .748 | 19 | 63 | 71 | .723 |
| 3 Michael Harris II CF · L | .293 | .322 | .500 | .822 | 20 | 66 | 83 | .737 |
| 4 Mauricio Dubón LF · R | .269 | .318 | .404 | .722 | 10 | 58 | 59 | .701 |
| 5 Austin Riley 3B · R | .221 | .296 | .362 | .658 | 13 | 56 | 142 | .741 |
| 6 Drake Baldwin C · L | .271 | .361 | .458 | .819 | 20 | 59 | 86 | .749 |
| 7 Lane Thomas CF · R | .229 | .324 | .390 | .714 | 10 | 38 | 80 | .716 |
| 8 Mike Yastrzemski LF · L | .228 | .311 | .378 | .689 | 8 | 32 | 72 | .714 |
| 9 Dominic Smith DH · L | .268 | .323 | .402 | .725 | 8 | 43 | 36 | .713 |
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Ben Rice 1B · L | .260 | .355 | .550 | .905 | 31 | 73 | 116 | .741 |
| 2 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B · L | .217 | .295 | .399 | .694 | 17 | 47 | 131 | .742 |
| 3 Luis García Jr. 1B · L | .283 | .313 | .560 | .873 | 24 | 78 | 61 | .733 |
| 4 Trent Grisham CF · L | .211 | .310 | .379 | .689 | 12 | 43 | 61 | .727 |
| 5 José Caballero SS · R | .245 | .298 | .396 | .694 | 12 | 41 | 81 | .707 |
| 6 Paul Goldschmidt 1B · R | .247 | .307 | .453 | .760 | 16 | 44 | 77 | .709 |
| 7 Heliot Ramos LF · R | .261 | .303 | .420 | .723 | 9 | 34 | 84 | .740 |
| 8 Ryan McMahon 3B · L | .212 | .276 | .372 | .648 | 10 | 27 | 82 | .715 |
| 9 Austin Wells C · L | .169 | .268 | .289 | .557 | 8 | 16 | 68 | .727 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 BR Ben Rice LHB .357
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 JC José Caballero RHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 AW Austin Wells LHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
Bullpen availability
- Available 5
- Limited 2
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 0
- Available 7
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
Recent form
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Braves and Yankees staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.