Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies Preview — August 7, 2026

Probable starters

AWAY · TOR

José Soriano

HOME · PHI

Zack Wheeler

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Hitter season stats

Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.

AWAY · TOR Projected · top 9 by AB

BATTER	2026 SEASON							PROJ OPS
BATTER	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	RBI	K	PROJ OPS
1 Ernie Clement 2B · R	.287	.311	.415	.726	9	38	43	.715
2 Kazuma Okamoto 3B · R	.229	.303	.439	.742	24	70	144	.718
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B · R	.259	.338	.349	.687	6	44	62	.779
4 Andrés Giménez SS · L	.235	.281	.353	.634	7	41	69	.708
5 George Springer DH · R	.234	.316	.398	.714	12	36	68	.730
6 Nathan Lukes RF · L	.261	.317	.360	.677	5	18	43	.716
7 Jesús Sánchez RF · L	.268	.310	.434	.744	8	32	55	.726
8 Myles Straw RF · R	.225	.278	.340	.618	3	18	27	.702
9 Brandon Valenzuela C · S	.235	.311	.396	.707	8	21	56	.737

HOME · PHI Projected · top 9 by AB

BATTER	2026 SEASON							PROJ OPS
BATTER	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	RBI	K	PROJ OPS
1 Trea Turner SS · R	.252	.298	.402	.700	16	45	108	.738
2 Luis Arraez 2B · L	.326	.361	.450	.811	5	47	21	.734
3 Alec Bohm 3B · R	.227	.284	.362	.646	13	62	66	.730
4 Bryce Harper 1B · L	.255	.364	.500	.864	24	68	103	.759
5 Brandon Marsh LF · L	.280	.318	.450	.768	16	51	111	.741
6 Kyle Schwarber DH · L	.243	.363	.521	.884	33	64	170	.764
7 Bryson Stott 2B · L	.260	.329	.417	.746	8	52	75	.722
8 Justin Crawford CF · L	.264	.308	.344	.652	2	29	65	.750
9 J.T. Realmuto C · R	.226	.304	.360	.664	8	38	67	.710

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

TOR starter vs Phillies lineup

José Soriano (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .325

1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 654 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
6 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .372
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .438 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
- Sinker (39% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.

José Soriano vs Phillies: full season matchup breakdown →

PHI starter vs Blue Jays lineup

Zack Wheeler (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .311

1 EC Ernie Clement SH .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .357
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
5 GS George Springer RHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
8 MS Myles Straw RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.

Zack Wheeler vs Blue Jays: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · TOR

John Schneider

Lineup 1.6 R Bunts 3.2 R IBBs 3.5 R

HOME · PHI

Don Mattingly

Lineup 2.1 R Bunts 0.9 R IBBs 1.1 R Interim

Bullpen availability

AWAY · TOR

Available 5
Limited 2
Rest required 0
Inactive 1

HOME · PHI

Available 7
Limited 1
Rest required 0
Inactive 0

Recent form

AWAY · TOR

6-4 L1 +1 run diff

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HOME · PHI

5-5 W1 +13 run diff

WLWWWWLLLL

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Blue Jays and Phillies staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.