July 29, 2026 · NL East
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
@
Probable starters
AWAY · ATL
HOME
TBD
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · ATL Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Ozzie Albies 2B · S | .262 | .312 | .442 | .754 | 18 | 60 | 68 | .723 |
| 2 Matt Olson 1B · L | .264 | .343 | .523 | .866 | 27 | 63 | 114 | .764 |
| 3 Austin Riley 3B · R | .216 | .293 | .351 | .644 | 12 | 50 | 129 | .741 |
| 4 Mauricio Dubón LF · R | .260 | .311 | .403 | .714 | 10 | 55 | 58 | .701 |
| 5 Michael Harris II CF · L | .298 | .326 | .503 | .829 | 19 | 61 | 79 | .737 |
| 6 Drake Baldwin C · L | .276 | .369 | .481 | .850 | 20 | 56 | 79 | .749 |
| 7 Mike Yastrzemski LF · L | .226 | .315 | .354 | .669 | 6 | 28 | 67 | .714 |
| 8 Dominic Smith DH · L | .266 | .322 | .393 | .715 | 7 | 41 | 35 | .713 |
| 9 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF · R | .251 | .371 | .417 | .788 | 7 | 22 | 54 | .776 |
HOME · NYM Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Bo Bichette 3B · R | .261 | .307 | .373 | .680 | 10 | 53 | 83 | .742 |
| 2 Carson Benge RF · L | .258 | .323 | .389 | .712 | 11 | 40 | 93 | .746 |
| 3 Marcus Semien 2B · R | .214 | .271 | .358 | .629 | 12 | 35 | 76 | .709 |
| 4 Brett Baty 3B · L | .222 | .295 | .328 | .623 | 6 | 33 | 96 | .725 |
| 5 A.J. Ewing CF · L | .271 | .342 | .417 | .759 | 7 | 26 | 72 | .755 |
| 6 Francisco Alvarez C · R | .262 | .341 | .450 | .791 | 12 | 26 | 68 | .746 |
| 7 Francisco Lindor SS · S | .233 | .318 | .425 | .743 | 8 | 23 | 37 | .749 |
| 8 Luis Torrens C · R | .223 | .287 | .324 | .611 | 2 | 20 | 40 | .708 |
| 9 Jared Young 1B · L | .250 | .322 | .427 | .749 | 7 | 19 | 37 | .716 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 BB Brett Baty LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 JY Jared Young LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
- Slider (42% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Manager comparison
AWAY · ATL
Lineup 3.2 R
Bunts 0.7 R
IBBs 2.2 R
HOME · NYM
Lineup 4.2 R
Bunts 1.8 R
IBBs 1.6 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · ATL
- Available 7
- Limited 0
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 0
HOME · NYM
- Available 7
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · ATL
6-3
?1
-9 run diff
?LWLWWWLWW
HOME · NYM
4-5
?1
+11 run diff
?WWLLLWLWL
Season series: 2-3 with ATL listed first across 6 prior meetings.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Braves and Mets staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.