July 22, 2026 · AL East
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox
@
Probable starters
AWAY · BAL
HOME
TBD
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · BAL Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Gunnar Henderson SS · L | .224 | .293 | .402 | .695 | 17 | 44 | 106 | .776 |
| 2 Pete Alonso 1B · R | .246 | .347 | .460 | .807 | 21 | 66 | 111 | .753 |
| 3 Taylor Ward LF · R | .251 | .386 | .361 | .747 | 7 | 27 | 94 | .729 |
| 4 Samuel Basallo C · L | .241 | .305 | .450 | .755 | 16 | 46 | 82 | .748 |
| 5 Leody Taveras CF · S | .240 | .320 | .363 | .683 | 4 | 37 | 76 | .712 |
| 6 Coby Mayo 3B · R | .196 | .264 | .400 | .664 | 13 | 35 | 87 | .734 |
| 7 Colton Cowser CF · L | .209 | .302 | .336 | .638 | 8 | 27 | 72 | .729 |
| 8 Jeremiah Jackson 2B · R | .252 | .271 | .400 | .671 | 7 | 37 | 44 | .736 |
| 9 Tyler O'Neill RF · R | .205 | .297 | .360 | .657 | 6 | 15 | 51 | .725 |
HOME · BOS Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Wilyer Abreu RF · L | .267 | .339 | .461 | .800 | 15 | 50 | 85 | .743 |
| 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF · R | .281 | .326 | .433 | .759 | 8 | 42 | 77 | .728 |
| 3 Jarren Duran LF · L | .191 | .254 | .340 | .594 | 13 | 49 | 117 | .748 |
| 4 Willson Contreras 1B · R | .289 | .384 | .557 | .941 | 22 | 66 | 94 | .734 |
| 5 Caleb Durbin 3B · R | .236 | .299 | .400 | .699 | 10 | 42 | 46 | .733 |
| 6 Masataka Yoshida DH · L | .267 | .341 | .398 | .739 | 4 | 18 | 25 | .719 |
| 7 Andruw Monasterio SS · R | .239 | .295 | .436 | .731 | 5 | 17 | 39 | .715 |
| 8 Carlos Narváez C · R | .200 | .266 | .294 | .560 | 3 | 9 | 57 | .729 |
| 9 Connor Wong C · R | .277 | .374 | .370 | .744 | 1 | 15 | 31 | .708 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 CW Connor Wong RHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
- Sinker (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · BAL
Lineup 2.1 R
Bunts 0.8 R
IBBs 2.4 R
HOME · BOS
Lineup 1.6 R
Bunts 1.7 R
IBBs 0.2 R
Interim
Bullpen availability
AWAY · BAL
- Available 6
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · BOS
- Available 5
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · BAL
7-2
?1
+17 run diff
?LWWWWWWWL
HOME · BOS
9-0
?1
+29 run diff
?WWWWWWWWW
Season series: 0-1 with BAL listed first across 2 prior meetings.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Orioles and Red Sox staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.