Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers
Probable starters
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
Jacob Misiorowski (RHP)
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1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 IH Ian Happ SH .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 MB Michael Busch LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MS Matt Shaw RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Shaw
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
Bullpen availability
- Available 8
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
- Available 7
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Cubs and Brewers staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.