PREVIEW Starts 7:45 PM ET · Busch Stadium
June 25, 2026 · NL Cent

Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals

June 25, 20267:45 PM ETBusch Stadium
AWAY
Arizona Diamondbacks
39-39
—
@
HOME
St. Louis Cardinals
42-34
—

Probable starters

AWAY · AZ
Zac Gallen
Zac Gallen
HOME · STL
Michael McGreevy
Michael McGreevy

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

AZ starter vs Cardinals lineup

Zac Gallen (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JF José Fermín RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Zac Gallen vs Cardinals: full season matchup breakdown →
STL starter vs Diamondbacks lineup

Michael McGreevy (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .369
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Michael McGreevy vs Diamondbacks: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · AZ
Torey Lovullo
Torey Lovullo
Lineup 3.0 R Bunts 2.9 R IBBs 1.8 R
HOME · STL
Oliver Marmol
Oliver Marmol
Lineup 2.1 R Bunts 2.3 R IBBs 1.2 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · AZ
  • Available 7
  • Limited 1
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 1
HOME · STL
  • Available 7
  • Limited 1
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0

Recent form

AWAY · AZ
5-5 L3 -2 run diff
LLLWWLWWLW
HOME · STL
5-5 W2 -6 run diff
WWLLLWWLWL

Season series: 0-1 with AZ listed first across 1 prior meeting.

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Diamondbacks and Cardinals staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.

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