June 24, 2026 · AL Cent
New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers
@
Probable starters
AWAY · NYY
HOME · DET
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
NYY starter vs Tigers lineup
Ryan Weathers (LHP)
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 RG Riley Greene LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 CK Colt Keith LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
DET starter vs Yankees lineup
Tarik Skubal (LHP)
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
-
1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 BR Ben Rice LHB .365
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 JC José Caballero RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
5 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AW Austin Wells LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 AR Amed Rosario RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 AV Anthony Volpe RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Anthony Volpe
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Manager comparison
AWAY · NYY
Lineup 2.1 R
Bunts 0.1 R
IBBs 1.5 R
HOME · DET
Lineup 3.5 R
Bunts 0.4 R
IBBs 0.6 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · NYY
- Available 5
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
HOME · DET
- Available 7
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · NYY
5-5
L3
+7 run diff
LLLWLWWWWL
HOME · DET
5-4
W4
+6 run diff
WWWWLLW?LL
Season series: 0-1 with NYY listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Yankees and Tigers staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.