June 24, 2026 · NL East
Texas Rangers at Miami Marlins
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Probable starters
AWAY · TEX
HOME
TBD
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
TEX starter vs Marlins lineup
Jacob deGrom (RHP)
Lineup avg xwOBA .309
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1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .224 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 CN Connor Norby RHB .281
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JM Joe Mack LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · TEX
Lineup 1.9 R
Bunts 0.8 R
IBBs 1.4 R
HOME · MIA
Lineup 2.4 R
Bunts 1.2 R
IBBs 0.8 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · TEX
- Available 5
- Limited 3
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
HOME · MIA
- Available 7
- Limited 2
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 1
Recent form
AWAY · TEX
4-6
W2
-26 run diff
WWLWLLLWLL
HOME · MIA
6-4
L1
+5 run diff
LWWWWLLWLW
Season series: 1-0 with TEX listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Rangers and Marlins staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.