Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels
Probable starters
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
Trey Gibson (RHP)
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1 JA Jo Adell RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 ZN Zach Neto RHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 JS Jorge Soler RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Soler
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 WM Wade Meckler LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 TH Tyler Heineman SH .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Heineman
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
José Soriano (RHP)
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Sinker (40% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .347
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Sinker (40% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
- Sinker (40% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
- Sinker (40% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 LT Leody Taveras SH .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Sinker (40% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CM Coby Mayo RHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Sinker (40% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Sinker (40% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
- Sinker (40% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 CC Colton Cowser LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Sinker (40% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
Bullpen availability
- Available 8
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
- Available 6
- Limited 1
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 0
Recent form
Season series: 1-0 with BAL listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Orioles and Angels staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.