Los Angeles Dodgers at Minnesota Twins
Probable starters
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
Shohei Ohtani (RHP)
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1 BB Byron Buxton RHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 JB Josh Bell SH .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 BL Brooks Lee SH .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 KC Kody Clemens SH .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 AM Austin Martin RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 VC Victor Caratini SH .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Connor Prielipp (LHP)
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1 AP Andy Pages RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 MM Max Muncy LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 AF Alex Freeland SH .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 AC Alex Call RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Call
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
Bullpen availability
- Available 6
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
- Available 5
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
Recent form
Season series: 1-0 with LAD listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Dodgers and Twins staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.