June 23, 2026 · AL Cent
Los Angeles Dodgers at Minnesota Twins
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Probable starters
AWAY · LAD
HOME · MIN
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
LAD starter vs Twins lineup
Justin Wrobleski (LHP)
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
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1 BB Byron Buxton RHB .352
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JB Josh Bell SH .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 BL Brooks Lee SH .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 KC Kody Clemens SH .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 AM Austin Martin RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 VC Victor Caratini SH .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
MIN starter vs Dodgers lineup
Kendry Rojas (LHP)
Lineup avg xwOBA .325
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1 AP Andy Pages RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 MM Max Muncy LHB .364
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 AF Alex Freeland SH .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 AC Alex Call RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Call
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (28% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · LAD
Lineup 0.9 R
Bunts 0.4 R
IBBs 2.3 R
HOME · MIN
Lineup 1.7 R
Bunts 0.7 R
IBBs 0.8 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · LAD
- Available 6
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
HOME · MIN
- Available 5
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
Recent form
AWAY · LAD
6-4
W1
-9 run diff
WLLWWWWLWL
HOME · MIN
7-3
L1
+22 run diff
LWWLWWWWLW
Season series: 1-0 with LAD listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Dodgers and Twins staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.