ARCHIVE May 7, 2026
May 7, 2026 · NL West

New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies

May 7, 2026Coors FieldCloudy 64°F · 7 mph, Out To CF
AWAY
New York Mets
14-23
2
vs
HOME
Colorado Rockies
15-23
6

Starting pitchers

AWAY · NYM
Christian Scott
Christian Scott
IP 4.2
HOME · COL
Jose Quintana
Jose Quintana
IP 5.2

Box score

  123456789 R
NYM 020000000 2
COL 000101040 6

Manager comparison

Both managers grade D+ / C entering this matchup.

AWAY · NYM
Carlos Mendoza
D+ Lineup 2.9 R Bunts 1.4 R IBBs 0.9 R
HOME · COL
Warren Schaeffer
C Lineup 1.5 R Bunts 0.9 R IBBs 1.9 R

Recent form

AWAY · NYM
5-4 L1 +2 run diff
LW?WWLWLLW
HOME · COL
3-6 W2 -7 run diff
WWL?LLLLLW

Season series: 2-4 with NYM listed first across 8 prior meetings.

Tactical analysis

RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.

AWAY · New York Mets
  • Manager lineup cost +0.17 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.14 vs actual lineup 3.97
  • Player execution −3.97 R/G Players fell 3.97 short of the lineup's 3.97 projection (scored 0)
  • Game variance −4.14 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Lineup spots out of order vs season production

HOME · Colorado Rockies
  • Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.17 vs actual lineup 4.14
  • Player execution −4.14 R/G Players fell 4.14 short of the lineup's 4.14 projection (scored 0)
  • Game variance −4.17 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Lineup spots out of order vs season production

COUNTERFACTUAL

Optimal lineups projected 4.1 – 4.2 — actual was 0 – 0.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.

Read the full methodology.