Oakland Athletics vs Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Nick Kurtz 1B
- 2 Shea Langeliers C
- 3 Tyler Soderstrom LF
- 4 Brent Rooker DH
- 5 Carlos Cortes RF
- 6 Jacob Wilson SS
- 7 Lawrence Butler CF
- 8 Zack Gelof 3B
- 9 Jeff McNeil 2B
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Adolis García RF
- 5 Brandon Marsh LF
- 6 Bryson Stott 2B
- 7 Edmundo Sosa 3B
- 8 Justin Crawford CF
- 9 Rafael Marchán C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with ATH listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.91 vs actual lineup 4.99
- Player execution +7.01 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.99 projection by 7.01 (scored 12)
- Game variance +7.09 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Gelof HR from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.86 vs actual lineup 3.81
- Player execution −2.81 R/G Players fell 2.81 short of the lineup's 3.81 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.86 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 3.9 — actual was 12 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.