Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Oneil Cruz CF
- 2 Brandon Lowe 2B
- 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
- 4 Ryan O'Hearn RF
- 5 Nick Gonzales 3B
- 6 Marcell Ozuna DH
- 7 Spencer Horwitz 1B
- 8 Konnor Griffin SS
- 9 Henry Davis C
- 1 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 2 Ketel Marte 2B
- 3 Corbin Carroll RF
- 4 Adrian Del Castillo DH
- 5 Ildemaro Vargas 1B
- 6 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
- 7 Nolan Arenado 3B
- 8 Gabriel Moreno C
- 9 Alek Thomas CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with PIT listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.11 vs actual lineup 4.14
- Player execution −3.14 R/G Players fell 3.14 short of the lineup's 4.14 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.11 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Cruz 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.81 vs actual lineup 2.80
- Player execution −2.80 R/G Players fell 2.80 short of the lineup's 2.80 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −2.81 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Perdomo 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.1 – 2.8 — actual was 1 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.