Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 George Springer DH
- 2 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
- 4 Lenyn Sosa 2B
- 5 Ernie Clement SS
- 6 Davis Schneider LF
- 7 Myles Straw CF
- 8 Yohendrick Piñango RF
- 9 Tyler Heineman C
- 1 Yandy Díaz DH
- 2 Ryan Vilade RF
- 3 Junior Caminero 3B
- 4 Jonathan Aranda 1B
- 5 Jonny DeLuca CF
- 6 Ben Williamson 2B
- 7 Chandler Simpson LF
- 8 Nick Fortes C
- 9 Taylor Walls SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-3 with TOR listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.10 vs actual lineup 3.12
- Player execution −3.12 R/G Players fell 3.12 short of the lineup's 3.12 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.10 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Springer 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.73 vs actual lineup 3.75
- Player execution −0.75 R/G Players fell 0.75 short of the lineup's 3.75 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.73 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Caminero 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 3.7 — actual was 0 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.