Oakland Athletics vs Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Nick Kurtz 1B
- 2 Jacob Wilson SS
- 3 Tyler Soderstrom LF
- 4 Brent Rooker DH
- 5 Carlos Cortes RF
- 6 Jeff McNeil 2B
- 7 Jonah Heim C
- 8 Lawrence Butler CF
- 9 Zack Gelof 3B
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Adolis García RF
- 5 Edmundo Sosa 2B
- 6 J.T. Realmuto C
- 7 Brandon Marsh CF
- 8 Alec Bohm 3B
- 9 Felix Reyes LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with ATH listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.62 vs actual lineup 3.50
- Player execution −0.50 R/G Players fell 0.50 short of the lineup's 3.50 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.62 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.90 vs actual lineup 3.85
- Player execution +2.15 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.85 projection by 2.15 (scored 6)
- Game variance +2.10 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Harper 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.6 – 3.9 — actual was 3 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.