Minnesota Twins vs Washington Nationals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Byron Buxton CF
- 2 Trevor Larnach LF
- 3 Ryan Jeffers C
- 4 Josh Bell DH
- 5 Austin Martin RF
- 6 Kody Clemens 1B
- 7 Luke Keaschall 2B
- 8 Brooks Lee SS
- 9 Royce Lewis 3B
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Daylen Lile LF
- 3 Curtis Mead 1B
- 4 CJ Abrams SS
- 5 Jacob Young CF
- 6 Jorbit Vivas 3B
- 7 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 8 José Tena DH
- 9 Keibert Ruiz C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
| WSH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with MIN listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.05 vs actual lineup 4.04
- Player execution +6.96 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.04 projection by 6.96 (scored 11)
- Game variance +6.95 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lee 3-for-5 from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.21 vs actual lineup 3.17
- Player execution −0.17 R/G Players fell 0.17 short of the lineup's 3.17 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.21 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Abrams 0-for-4 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 4.0 – 3.2 — actual was 11 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.