ARCHIVE May 5, 2026
May 5, 2026 · AL East

Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees

May 5, 2026Yankee StadiumClear 76°F · 15 mph, R To L
AWAY
Texas Rangers
16-19
4
vs
HOME
New York Yankees
25-11
7

Starting pitchers

AWAY · TEX
Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom
IP 6.1
HOME · NYY
Elmer Rodríguez
Elmer Rodríguez
IP 4.2

Lineups

AWAY · TEX
  1. 1 Evan Carter CF
  2. 2 Corey Seager SS
  3. 3 Josh Jung 3B
  4. 4 Joc Pederson DH
  5. 5 Ezequiel Duran 2B
  6. 6 Jake Burger 1B
  7. 7 Alejandro Osuna LF
  8. 8 Danny Jansen C
  9. 9 Andrew McCutchen RF
HOME · NYY
  1. 1 Trent Grisham CF
  2. 2 Aaron Judge RF
  3. 3 Cody Bellinger LF
  4. 4 Jasson Domínguez DH
  5. 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  6. 6 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  7. 7 Austin Wells C
  8. 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
  9. 9 José Caballero SS

Box score

  123456789 R
TEX 300000001 4
NYY 120001210 7

Manager comparison

Both managers grade B- / C+ entering this matchup.

AWAY · TEX
Skip Schumaker
B- Lineup 1.0 R Bunts 0.3 R IBBs 0.9 R
HOME · NYY
Aaron Boone
C+ Lineup 1.5 R Bunts 0.0 R IBBs 1.1 R

Recent form

AWAY · TEX
3-7 L2 -20 run diff
LLWLLLWWLL
HOME · NYY
7-3 L1 +26 run diff
LWLWWWWWLW

Season series: 2-4 with TEX listed first across 6 prior meetings.

Tactical analysis

RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.

AWAY · Texas Rangers
  • Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.70 vs actual lineup 4.67
  • Player execution −0.67 R/G Players fell 0.67 short of the lineup's 4.67 projection (scored 4)
  • Game variance −0.70 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Seager 0-for-4 batting 2nd

HOME · New York Yankees
  • Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.66 vs actual lineup 3.72
  • Player execution +3.28 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.72 projection by 3.28 (scored 7)
  • Game variance +3.34 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

McMahon HR from the 8-hole

COUNTERFACTUAL

Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 3.7 — actual was 4 – 7.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.

Read the full methodology.