Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brandon Nimmo DH
- 2 Andrew McCutchen RF
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Josh Jung 3B
- 5 Jake Burger 1B
- 6 Evan Carter CF
- 7 Ezequiel Duran LF
- 8 Josh Smith 2B
- 9 Kyle Higashioka C
- 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 2 Matt Vierling CF
- 3 Colt Keith 3B
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 6 Kerry Carpenter DH
- 7 Wenceel Pérez RF
- 8 Hao-Yu Lee 2B
- 9 Jake Rogers C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with TEX listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.41 vs actual lineup 2.39
- Player execution −1.39 R/G Players fell 1.39 short of the lineup's 2.39 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −1.41 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Smith 2-for-3 from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.94 vs actual lineup 4.82
- Player execution +2.18 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.82 projection by 2.18 (scored 7)
- Game variance +2.06 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Greene 0-for-3 batting 4th
Optimal lineups projected 2.4 – 4.9 — actual was 1 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.