Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Taylor Ward LF
- 2 Adley Rutschman C
- 3 Pete Alonso DH
- 4 Tyler O'Neill RF
- 5 Coby Mayo 1B
- 6 Leody Taveras CF
- 7 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
- 8 Weston Wilson 3B
- 9 Blaze Alexander SS
- 1 Trent Grisham CF
- 2 Ben Rice 1B
- 3 Aaron Judge RF
- 4 Cody Bellinger LF
- 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- 6 Jasson Domínguez DH
- 7 Austin Wells C
- 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
- 9 José Caballero SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| NYY | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 11 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-4 with BAL listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.93 vs actual lineup 2.87
- Player execution +0.13 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.87 projection by 0.13 (scored 3)
- Game variance +0.07 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ward 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.26 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.99 vs actual lineup 4.73
- Player execution +6.27 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.73 projection by 6.27 (scored 11)
- Game variance +6.01 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Grisham 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 2.9 – 5.0 — actual was 3 – 11.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.