Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 3 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 4 Kyle Tucker RF
- 5 Max Muncy 3B
- 6 Dalton Rushing C
- 7 Andy Pages CF
- 8 Hyeseong Kim SS
- 9 Alex Freeland 2B
- 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
- 2 Iván Herrera DH
- 3 Jordan Walker RF
- 4 Alec Burleson 1B
- 5 Masyn Winn SS
- 6 José Fermín LF
- 7 Nathan Church CF
- 8 Pedro Pagés C
- 9 Ramón Urías 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with LAD listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 5.00 vs actual lineup 5.07
- Player execution −1.07 R/G Players fell 1.07 short of the lineup's 5.07 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −1.00 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ohtani 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.44 vs actual lineup 2.45
- Player execution −1.45 R/G Players fell 1.45 short of the lineup's 2.45 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −1.44 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Herrera 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 2.4 — actual was 4 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.